BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Arizona St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 43 Conference: Pacific 12 Conference Record: (5-4) Overall: (7-6) Overall Strength = 161.78
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/01/2018 Home W 169.64 49 7 1A 127 ( 3- 9) Texas-San Antonio 7.26 * 34.74
2 09/08/2018 Home W 164.65 16 13 1A 35 ( 7- 5) Michigan St 2.27 0.73
3 09/15/2018 Away L 147.43 21 28 1A 73 ( 7- 5) San Diego St -14.95 7.95
4 09/22/2018 Away L * 165.81 20 27 1A 19 ( 10- 3) Washington 3.43 -10.43
5 09/29/2018 Home W * 165.57 52 24 1A 113 ( 2- 10) Oregon St 3.19 24.81
6 10/06/2018 Away L * 151.09 21 28 1A 67 ( 5- 7) Colorado -11.29 4.29
7 10/18/2018 Home L * 157.31 13 20 1A 30 ( 8- 4) Stanford -5.07 -1.93
8 10/27/2018 Away W * 164.11 38 35 1A 54 ( 5- 7) Southern Cal 1.72 1.28
9 11/03/2018 Home W * 186.23 38 20 1A 21 ( 9- 4) Utah 23.84 -5.84
10 11/10/2018 Home W * 155.64 31 28 1A 70 ( 3- 9) UCLA -6.75 9.75
11 11/17/2018 Away L * 164.34 29 31 1A 40 ( 8- 4) Oregon 1.95 -3.95
12 11/24/2018 Away W * 157.44 41 40 1A 71 ( 5- 7) Arizona -4.94 5.94
13 12/15/2018 Neutral L 161.74 20 31 1A 16 ( 12- 2) Fresno St -0.65 -10.35
Averages 162.38 29.9 25.5
Best game: 186.23 = 18 point win over Utah
Worst game: 147.43 = 7 point loss to San Diego St
Team stdev: 9.58